Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 11.683103 13.458461 15.354496 17.523614 19.929804 22.510508 25.480871
2025-02-16 8.912919 11.141152 13.671199 16.734840 20.321325 24.363844 29.240696
2025-02-23 7.289400 9.770386 12.736343 16.498729 21.096445 26.483155 33.218633
2025-03-02 6.002037 8.579744 11.809089 16.078270 21.493670 28.051037 36.500064
2025-03-09 5.104605 7.740061 11.184517 15.907566 22.096044 29.803473 39.988322
2025-03-16 4.305978 6.916563 10.470833 15.516069 22.329162 31.036425 42.808580
2025-03-23 3.806908 6.440487 10.158722 15.598674 23.137864 32.986510 46.559723
2025-03-30 3.346324 5.959075 9.781203 15.538025 23.714985 34.618226 49.914607
2025-04-06 3.020068 5.639291 9.597380 15.717139 24.601831 36.664605 53.852313
2025-04-13 2.734848 5.348168 9.422938 15.881842 25.453503 38.668997 57.770565
2025-04-20 2.549771 5.198339 9.445138 16.325963 26.707093 41.249631 62.528895
2025-04-27 2.356414 5.010645 9.387268 16.633843 27.760051 43.567371 66.972758
2025-05-04 2.117392 4.717529 9.138679 16.633034 28.358036 45.267520 70.620061
2025-05-11 1.784638 4.209396 8.488037 15.946390 27.875802 45.382904 72.013878
2025-05-18 1.574857 3.906878 8.157457 15.747502 28.118180 46.542115 74.909329
2025-05-25 1.361674 3.567581 7.730028 15.353731 28.025352 47.186717 77.058414
2025-06-01 1.206265 3.325667 7.454708 15.193781 28.286119 48.354141 79.985928
2025-06-08 1.042476 3.040768 7.072093 14.818204 28.171190 48.934468 82.043240
2025-06-15 0.949492 2.901763 6.954188 14.898597 28.800693 50.665110 85.849421
2025-06-22 0.851399 2.735802 6.767780 14.840432 29.189642 52.024308 89.116656
2025-06-29 0.785586 2.638835 6.710738 15.013252 29.970293 54.011989 93.377217
2025-07-06 0.724360 2.544197 6.649642 15.172118 30.727928 55.976709 97.637987
2025-07-13 0.690922 2.517909 6.729498 15.600440 31.964011 58.731799 103.171696